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MMA DFS Content Schedule

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MMA DFS Content Schedule

To meet everyone’s MMA DFS needs, we’ve got you covered with our industry leading point projections, ownership projections and cheatsheets. Given the abundance of DFS content out there we realize it can be overwhelming to navigate the site and make sense of it all. That’s where this content schedule comes in. Below is a brief description and link to each piece of content, including whether it’s free or premium. Each is posted weekly on Saturday mornings/afternoons, on fight nights.

Data

MMA Fantasy Point Projections

(Premium) (posted by 9 PM EST on Fridays): Our fantasy point projections breaks down every element of a fighter’s projected performance and synthesizes hundreds of data points into one easy to use fantasy point projection for each fighter, that can be used as a reference for hand-building lineups or plugged into an optimizer to create hundreds of lineups within seconds. Our projections give you the odds of a knockout and the odds of a win, so that you can use them to gain an advantage in sports betting markets as well.

MMA Ownership Projections 

(Premium) (posted by 9 PM EST on Fridays/updated in the hours before lock as news breaks), As your DFS competition becomes increasingly sophisticated, it’s not only important to know who the best plays are but also who the best players are that no one else talking about. Ownership projections provide you insight into where the “field” (other fighters) will land and how you can pivot away from over-owned fighters and target under-owned fighters, giving you the competitive advantage you need to take down large GPPs.

Tools

Slack Chat

(Premium) featuring all of our analysts and the world’s most passionate DFS community: join us in our MMA Slack channel where we’re talking strategy and plays (and sometimes sweating lineups) into the late hours of the night.

MMA Fantasy Cruncher optimizer 

(Premium add-on): The most powerful optimizer in DFS, available as an add-on to Awesemo.com premium members,

Articles

MMA Cheatsheet: Fight Night with Josh Engleman 

(FREE) (Posted by 12 PM EST on Saturdays): Josh Engleman breaks down his favorite plays from the night’s card, giving you the top options in each price range on DraftKings. He offers his opinions on how various fighter styles will clash and what that means for your rostering decisions.

I've been obsessed with fantasy sports since as long as I can remember. Back in 1993, while seated in the last row of Mr. MacMillan's math class, I'm fairly certain a few buddies of mine and I invented daily fantasy sports -- popping down our fivers and using nothing more than a newspaper box score, we'd make our NHL player picks for the night's action. Twenty years later I started out playing DFS on DraftStreet, when three-max tourneys with 490 people were a big deal, and I've been hooked ever since. More than anything, I'm interested in getting better as a player, and in helping you become a better player. Armed with Awesemo's grades and the projections from our experts, we're here to help you take the next step. You can contact me by emailing support@awesemo.com.

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UFC DFS Ownership Projections for DraftKings: UFC 238Premium content

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UFC DFS Ownership Projections for DraftKings: Fight Night 152

Projected DraftKings MMA Daily Fantasy Tournament Ownership

Below are our UFC DFS ownership projections for DraftKings: UFC 238

You can find MMA fantasy-point projections here.

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DraftKings

UFC DFS DraftKings Projections: UFC 238Premium content

Alex

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UFC DFS DraftKings Projections: Fight Night 152

Projected Fantasy Points for UFC DFS Contests on DraftKings

You can find ownership projections here

Below are MMA Daily Fantasy Sport Point Projections for DraftKings

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Fantasy MMA DFS Preview: UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes (FREE)

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With UFC 238 just two days away, I wanted to take an early look at the main card, along with some things to keep an eye on from the rest of the card. If you’re looking to play  MMA DFS this weekend, keep an eye out for Awesemo’s projections, ownership projections and his cheatsheet.

Looking for premium access to Awesemo’s UFC Rankings and Projections? Sign up HERE.

Henry Cejudo (+115) vs. Marlon Moraes (-135)

I think I’ve been sleeping on Marlon Moraes. Maybe it was all of those years taking out the trash in WSOF. Maybe it was the “loss” in his UFC debut against Raphael Assuncao. [16 media members have their scores tracked for this fight. 15 had the fight for Moraes.]

Since that loss, Moraes went on a killing spree. After taking a split decision win against John Dodson, Moraes stole the souls of Aljamain Sterlin and Jimmie Rivera, and then capped it all off by choking out the aforementioned Assuncao. All three fights ended in the first round. All three received performance bonuses. And yet, he’s about to face the biggest test of his life.

Cejudo has CHAMP CHAMP status hanging in the balance. His last time out, he took down the EPO-saturated T.J. Dillashaw to retain his Flyweight title. This time out, he’s looking to capture the vacated Bantamweight belt. I was shocked to see him as the underdog because I assumed this line would be reversed, at the minimum. I guess what I’m saying is, I’m leaning more towards Cejudo becuase he’ll be able to use his wrestling to dictate where this fight takes place. Cejudo has taken some big shots in the past, but I also think he’s a guy that grows exponentially between fights. Right now, I’m leaning to increased exposure to Cejudo, both due to the price discount and because I need to see from Moraes on the biggest stage before I fade an Olympic gold medalist.

Valentina Shevchenko (-1400) vs. Jessica Eye (+800)

This one’s going to be a bit different. Valentina Shevchenko is fixing to beat the breaks off of Jessica Eye. Shevchenko is a decorated kickboxer and muay thai fighter. Eye is skilled on the feet in general, but is miles behind the champ. Valentina has gone the distance with Amanda Nunes twice. She’s taken out Holly Holm. She’s taken out Joanna Jedrzejczyk. Meanwhile, Jessica Eye is finally getting wins against the likes of Kalindra Faria, Jessica-Rose Clark and Katlyn Chookagian. Just pay the freight for Shevchenko. Her performance is the safest on the entire slate. I wish I had more to say, but this is a complete and utter mismatch.

Tony Ferguson (-140) vs. Donald Cerrone (+120)

And then there’s the people main event.

This is another fight where I was a bit surprised by the line. I expected Tony Ferguson to be a slightly higher favorite. We’ve seen Cerrone in this spot before, and generally, we don’t get the best Donald. Meanwhile, Ferguson just doesn’t lose. His last loss was on May 5, 2012. He’s the only guy at 155 that I see challenging Khabib. But first, he needs to get through the veteran in Cerrone. Cerrone is notoriously a slow starter, while Tony Ferguson turns the dial to 11 immediately. In a three round fight, there’s little margin for error, which makes me concerned for Cerrone. If Tony is healthy, and in a good place mentally, I’m not sure what Cerrone can do. I think Ferguson puts an overwhelming amount of pressure on Cerrone, and he just simply won’t be able to keep up. The reason I’m so comfortable with my assessment for this fight is because I can’t stand Tony Ferguson. I desperately want him to lose. I just don’t see the scenario where it happens, unless Tony is at less than 100%. Even then, he’s crazy enough to not care.

Jimmie Rivera (+260) vs. Petr Yan (-330)

Yan is the third most expensive fighter on the slate, behind Shevchenko and Tatiana Suarez. His path to victory is simple: box Jimmie Rivera’s face off. He landed 80 significant strikes in his decision win over John Dodson. He landed 76 in two rounds against Douglas Silva de Andrade. He’s simply just going to throw leather. Rivera, on the other hand, needs to drag this fight to the ground in order to succeed. I just don’t see that happening. I have very little interest in Rivera on this slate. I’m not sure he offers much upside in GPPs, so I’m focused on Yan getting the finish, or just hammering him for 15 minutes.

Tai Tuivasa (-150) vs. Blagoy Ivanov (+120)

I think we’re all on the same page here. We want Tai Tuivasa to pick up the win so we can see him do a celebratory “shoey” after the fight. I’m not sure either guy is all that interesting. They both have losses to Junior dos Santos. Tuivasa was finished in his most recent fight; Ivanov dropped a decision to JDS just before his most recent win versus Ben Rothwell. Ivanov’s goal will be to leverage his black belt in judo to try and win this fight via grappling. Tuivasa is coming to land a bomb. Normally, that’s not a bad strategy at heavyweight. Unfortunately, he’s looking to stop a guy that has never lost via strikes. Ivanov took out Fedor Emelianenko is a combat sambo match in 2008, back when a win over Fedor meant EVERYTHING. Ultimately, while I’m cheering for Tuivasa, I don’t see this as a fight worth targeting on either side. I don’t see a quick finish from either fighter, and I’d be shocked to see enough volume from either to be worth it in a decision.

Undercard Notes

Similar to Shevchenko, Tatiana Suarez is fixing to beat Nina Ansaroff senseless. Suarez is the second-most expensive fighter on the card, and she’s coming off of a terrifying destruction of former champ Carla Esparza. I think Ansaroff is solid, but she’s in way too deep of water in this one. Suarez rolls.

The Aljamain Sterling/Pedro Munhoz should be a back and forth affair, with both guys being a threat to finish. I expect to use both guys regularly, with Sterling being my slight preference. The winner of this fight likely gets the Cejudo/Moraes winner.

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